Bitcoin price continues to be under strong selling pressure after facing rejection at $100K on Christmas. While bulls are trying to defend the crucial support of $95,000, on-chain data and market analysts show that chances of a BTC price crash to $60,000 by Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 19, are much higher.
On-Chain Data Flashes Bitcoin Price Crash Signals
Following the rally to $100K levels, the Bitcoin selling pressure intensified pushing the BTC price all the way to $95,000 once again. On-chain data also shows weakness, as there is not enough ammunition for Bitcoin price to continue the rally.
Popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez stated that Bitcoin’s critical support zone now lies between $97,041 and $93,806. He also warned that if Bitcoin fails to hold this demand area, it could see a sharp decline to $70,085.
Source: Ali Charts
Exchange Reserve Surge Puts Pressure on Bitcoin Price
Another concerning matter has been the BTC exchange reserves, which have soared amid the Bitcoin price surge to its all-time high of $100K. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez reports that savvy investors seem to be preparing for a potential bearish scenario.
Over the past week, more than 33,000 Bitcoin, valued at over $3.23 billion, have been transferred to exchanges. This movement suggests heightened caution and possible selling pressure in the market.
Source: Ali Charts
On the other hand, profit booking for BTC has also surged over the past week. On December 23, Bitcoin investors collectively realized over $7.17 billion in profits, highlighting significant market activity and profit-taking during the holiday period, reported Martinez.
Additionally, derivatives data shows that traders aren’t quite optimistic about Bitcoin in the near term. The percentage of traders holding long positions on Bitcoin ($BTC) on Binance has declined sharply, falling from 66.73% to 53.60%.
What Are The Chances Of BTC Reveral To Bullish Rally?
On Christmas day, Bitcoin price breached a crucial support level at $97,300, where 1.51 million wallets collectively purchased approximately 1.49 million BTC, according to analyst Ali Martinez. For bearish sentiment to be overturned, Bitcoin must reclaim this significant support zone and, more importantly, achieve a daily close above the $100,000 mark.
Martinez further added that if the Bitcoin bulls manage to sustain the $100K support, the BTC price can rally to $168,000 as per the Mayer Multiple.
Source: Ali Charts
However, BTC price today was 2.2% down and exchanged hands at $96,038. Its market cap stood at $1.9 trillion, and the 24-hour trading volume has shot up 24% all the way to $46 billion. The 24-hour liquidation stands at $55 million with $44 million being in long liquidation.
Analysts Predict BTC Crash By Donald Trump Inauguration
Several crypto market analysts predict further downside for Bitcoin if it loses the crucial support of $95,000. Crypto analyst Tone Vays has expressed concern over Bitcoin ($BTC) trading below the critical $95,000 level. Vays warns that such a move is “very, very bad,” as it significantly raises the likelihood of a correction toward $73,000.
Veteran trader Peter Brandt has cautioned that Bitcoin price may be on the verge of breaking down from a “broadening triangle” pattern. If this occurs, Brandt suggests the price could experience a retracement toward the $70,000 zone.
Source: Peter Brandt
On the other hand, Fundstrat remains optimistic, projecting that Bitcoin price could reach $250,000 by 2025. However, according to market expert Mark Newton, a pullback to $60,000 may occur before that surge.
Finally, Benjamin Cowen from IntoTheCryptoVerse, speculates that Bitcoin (BTC) may follow a similar price pattern to the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ). If this occurs, a flash crash to $60,000 could take place around the inauguration of Donald Trump.
As BTC faces chances of a crash, investors are turning bullish on altcoins. Crypto market analysts believe that the altcoin season isn’t over and that altcoins could see a strong recovery from now onwards. Although, many investors might seem to have given up the hope, the recovery in altcoins could be stronger.
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